Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001206 0.001349 0.001491 0.001645 0.001806 0.001968 0.002144
2025-05-11 0.000984 0.001185 0.001394 0.001624 0.001871 0.002124 0.002405
2025-05-18 0.000761 0.000998 0.001251 0.001539 0.001854 0.002184 0.002554
2025-05-25 0.000610 0.000874 0.001167 0.001506 0.001884 0.002287 0.002745
2025-06-01 0.000474 0.000753 0.001073 0.001455 0.001888 0.002356 0.002894
2025-06-08 0.000380 0.000672 0.001018 0.001442 0.001929 0.002463 0.003081
2025-06-15 0.000336 0.000646 0.001026 0.001497 0.002045 0.002651 0.003356
2025-06-22 0.000265 0.000578 0.000977 0.001481 0.002078 0.002743 0.003523
2025-06-29 0.000216 0.000533 0.000952 0.001492 0.002138 0.002863 0.003720
2025-07-06 0.000198 0.000531 0.000979 0.001564 0.002269 0.003064 0.004006
2025-07-13 0.000148 0.000473 0.000931 0.001542 0.002287 0.003133 0.004142
2025-07-20 0.000102 0.000411 0.000873 0.001503 0.002283 0.003176 0.004246
2025-07-27 0.000079 0.000392 0.000881 0.001561 0.002410 0.003387 0.004564
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000331 0.000826 0.001535 0.002435 0.003481 0.004749
2025-08-10 0.000008 0.000248 0.000728 0.001449 0.002383 0.003484 0.004828
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000197 0.000673 0.001415 0.002393 0.003557 0.004988
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000146 0.000608 0.001363 0.002379 0.003600 0.005111
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000114 0.000571 0.001349 0.002411 0.003697 0.005296
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000107 0.000582 0.001402 0.002528 0.003897 0.005601
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000081 0.000547 0.001387 0.002556 0.003987 0.005777
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000065 0.000531 0.001397 0.002616 0.004115 0.005997
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000066 0.000554 0.001467 0.002755 0.004340 0.006330
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000518 0.001445 0.002770 0.004413 0.006483